Urgent Weather Advisory: Flooding in Maharashtra

Urgent Weather Advisory: Flooding in Maharashtra

India continues to experience tremendous weather variability in 2019. High, unseasonal rainfall in Maharashtra has wiped out acres of the kharif crops such as maize, rice, sorghum, millet, and peanut crops. Maharashtra’s economy is largely agrarian and these extreme weather events will have social, environmental and economic implications. aWhere’s weather data and models can help service providers, industry and farmers producers organizations in India and around the world adapt to weather variability by applying accurate observed weather to inform decisions.

Weather Insights

India continues to experience tremendous weather variability in 2019. High, unseasonal rainfall in Maharashtra has wiped out acres of the kharif crops such as maize, rice, sorghum, millet, and peanut crops. Maharashtra’s economy is largely agrarian and these extreme weather events will have social, environmental and economic implications. The map below shows the higher than normal precipitation totals in Maharashtra. Additional analysis of weekly climate trends from July 2019 – November 2019 of key sites across the state show the higher than normal rainfall events.

Increased rainfall variability negatively impacts cropping systems, watershed management, and market pricing. Farmers need daily access to accurate weather data and insights to manage and adapt to weather variability.

Analytics:

What is in the forecast?

The maps below show the total precipitation in October 2019 and the rainfall forecast through November 11, 2019. The southwestern region of Maharashtra state experienced high precipitation totals, from 300-1000 mm. There is some relief in the forecast, with totals lowering back down closer to the long-term normal.

Rainfall patterns over the past 5 months show erratic rainfall in this location. Over the past two weeks over 400 mm of rain has fallen when farmers expected less than 20 mm.

Implications

India’s alternate drought and flooding this year has caused emergency responses by the government, and the economy of Maharashtra is feeling the full implications of erratic weather. There is potential here to have at least anticipated the impact of excessive rainfall had hydrologic models been exercised with such a scenario. As erratic climate events become the norm, early warning systems must be strengthened to sufficiently warn communities of impending floods or drought. There are fears over the economic damage and implications for farmers in the region due to the loss of their crops and livelihoods.

aWhere’s weather data and models can help service providers, industry and farmers producers organizations in India and around the world adapt to weather variability by applying accurate observed weather to deliver economic resilience to climate change in agriculture, energy, health, trade (domestic and international) and watershed management. Contact aWhere for specific recommendations.


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